The NFL model, with a 24-10 record, offers its predictions and picks for the upcoming Thursday Night Football game between the Lions and Packers, including odds, betting lines, and schedule details.

Detroit lions
December 5, 2024

In Week 14, two of the NFC’s top teams will face off when the Green Bay Packers take on the Detroit Lions in a crucial NFC North divisional matchup on Thursday Night Football. Both teams won on Thanksgiving Day, with Detroit edging out Chicago 23-20, and Green Bay defeating Miami 30-17. The Packers (9-3), currently third in the division, are on a three-game winning streak and boast a 4-1 road record this season. The Lions (11-1), leading the NFC North and holding the top spot in the conference, have won 10 consecutive games and are 5-1 at home in 2024. Packers wide receiver Romeo Doubs will miss the game due to a concussion.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET at Ford Field in Detroit. The Lions are favored by 3.5 points, up from an opening line of 3, while the over/under is set at 51.5 total points. The Lions are -180 favorites on the money line (risk $180 to win $100), with the Packers listed as +150 underdogs (risk $100 to win $150). Before making any picks for Packers vs. Lions, be sure to check out SportsLine’s NFL predictions and betting advice, which can help guide your Thursday Night Football bets.

SportsLine’s model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has earned over $7,000 for $100 bettors on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. Heading into Week 14 of the 2024 season, the model is on a 24-10 hot streak for top-rated NFL picks this year and has an overall record of 204-138 on top-rated NFL picks since 2017, as well as a 58-31 record since Week 7 of 2022. The model has also ranked in the top 10 for straight-up NFL picks on NFL picksWatch in four of the last six years and outperformed 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times.

Beyond the model’s picks, SportsLine also offers AI-generated props, expert picks from Vegas, DFS Optimizer access, and everything needed to make informed Thursday Night Football bets. Head to SportsLine now for all of this information.

The model has now locked in its picks for Packers vs. Lions. For more details, including predictions and odds, check out SportsLine. Here’s a snapshot of the NFL betting lines for the game:

  • Spread: Lions -3.5
  • Over/Under: 51.5 points
  • Moneyline: Lions -180, Packers +150
  • Packers record against the spread (ATS): 5-5 in the last 10 games
  • Lions record ATS: 8-2 in the last 10 games

Top Predictions for Packers vs. Lions
For this Thursday Night Football game, SportsLine’s model predicts the total will go Under 51.5, forecasting 50 points in the game. Both teams feature top-tier defenses, with Detroit allowing just 16.9 points and 320.3 yards per game, while Green Bay has given up 20 points and 325.5 yards. Despite strong offenses, their previous meeting in November saw only 38 combined points. Four of the last five matchups between the teams have also totaled fewer than 51 points, including both of the most recent games at Ford Field.

In their last matchup on November 3, Detroit struggled with just 261 total yards, including 137 passing yards. Lions quarterback Jared Goff completed 18 of 22 passes for 145 yards and a touchdown. On the other side, Green Bay’s Jordan Love threw for 273 yards but had a critical pick-six before halftime, which shifted momentum toward Detroit. Running back Josh Jacobs had 13 carries for 95 yards in the game.

How to make Packers vs. Lions picks
In addition to the Under pick, SportsLine’s model suggests one side of the spread covers in more than 50% of simulations. For the full picks and analysis, visit SportsLine.

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